MIDSEASON CAMPS: http://sorhl.proboards.com/thread/11091/season-13-midseason-camps
RETIREMENTS:http://sorhl.proboards.com/thread/11027/season-13-retirements

SEASON 13 PLAYOFF HUNT


Here we are at the 25 GP mark of the season, so here's the first installment of the Playoff Hunt Report for this season (as of Saturday, Aug 24 2019).

Teams in the playoffs positions at the 25 (+/-) Games Played mark of the season (around 30% into the season) make the post-season 71.8% of the time (138 times out of 192 chances). This is below the NHL's record mark (80%), but it's still a significant number of those teams making the post-season. The league high mark was set in Season 3 when 15 of the 16 teams (93.7%) made the post-season, and the league low mark was in Season 5 when 9 of 16 teams (56.2%) made the playoffs. Last season, 12 of the 16 teams (75.0%) made the post-season, which was slightly higher than league average.

Additionally, if a franchise is one of the top four teams in their conference, their chances are 86.4% 83 times out of 96) of making the playoffs. Five of the twelve times (41.6%), all eight of those teams made the SORHL post-season. However, the last time all eight made it was back in Season 6. The last three seasons, six of eight teams made the post-season.

As a reminder, a "quality team" is one when the team has a winning record, e.g. points are equal or greater than games played. There are currently 18 quality teams in the SORHL, and the league average is 56.3 games remaining (GR) with 31.6 games against quality teams (GAQT). So, here are the current matchups:

EASTERN CONFERENCE

#8 vs #1 – Washington Capitals vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Washington Capitals (10-9-6, 26 pts) - 57 GR, 32 GAQT
Columbus Blue Jackets (17-7-2, 36 pts) - 56 GR, 30 GAQT

#7 vs #2 – Buffalo Sabres vs Boston Bruins
Buffalo Sabres (12-10-4, 28 pts) - 56 GR, 32 GAQT
Boston Bruins (14-9-3, 31 pts) - 56 GR, 31 GAQT

#6 vs #3 – New York Islanders vs Quebec Nordiques
New York Islanders (12-9-4, 28 pts) - 57 GR, 33 GAQT
Quebec Nordiques (13-9-4, 30 pts) - 56 GR, 29 GAQT

#5 vs #4 – Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens
Tampa Bay Lightning (13-10-2, 28 pts) - 57 GR, 34 GAQT
Montreal Canadiens (13-10-3, 29 pts) - 56 GR, 32 GAQT

In The Hunt:
New York Rangers (11-11-4, 26 pts) 0 pts back - 56 GR, 30 GAQT
Ottawa Senators (11-11-3, 25 pts) 1 pts back - 57 GR, 32 GAQT
Carolina Hurricanes (12-13-1, 25 pts) 1 pts back - 56 GR, 33 GAQT
Detroit Red Wings (10-14-3, 23 pts) 3 pts back - 55 GR, 34 GAQT
Philadelphia Flyers (10-13-2, 22 pts) 4 pts back - 57 GR, 37 GAQT
Pittsburgh Penguins (9-13-3, 21 pts) 5 pts back - 57 GR, 37 GAQT
Toronto Maple Leafs (9-13-3, 21 pts) 5 pts back - 57 GR, 33 GAQT
New Jersey Devils (8-16-2, 18 pts) 8 pts back - 56 GR, 27 GAQT

ESTERN CONFERENCE

#8 vs #1 – San Jose Sharks vs Calgary Flames
San Jose Sharks (12-11-2, 26 pts) - 57 GR, 33 GAQT
Calgary Flames (19-5-2, 40 pts) - 56 GR, 28 GAQT

#7 vs #2 – Vancouver Canucks vs Minnesota Wild
Vancouver Canucks (12-10-3, 27 pts) - 57 GR, 30 GAQT
Minnesota Wild (13-8-5, 31 pts) - 56 GR, 30 GAQT

#6 vs #3 – Winnipeg Jets vs Los Angeles Kings
Winnipeg Jets (13-10-2, 28 pts) - 57 GR, 34 GAQT
Los Angeles Kings (13-8-4, 30 pts) - 57 GR, 27 GAQT

#5 vs #4 – Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars
Colorado Avalanche (13-10-3, 29 pts) - 56 GR, 30 GAQT
Dallas Stars (13-9-4, 30 pts) - 56 GR, 31 GAQT

In The Hunt:
Phoenix Coyotes (10-12-3, 23 pts) 3 pts back - 57 GR, 32 GAQT
Seattle Amazons (11-15-1, 23 pts) 3 pts back - 55 GR, 31 GAQT
Edmonton Oilers (10-14-2, 22 pts) 4 pts back - 56 GR, 33 GAQT
Anaheim Ducks (9-13-4, 22 pts) 4 pts back - 56 GR, 32 GAQT
St. Louis Blues (8-13-4, 20 pts) 6 pts back - 57 GR, 36 GAQT
Las Vegas Aces (8-14-3, 19 pts) 7 pts back - 57 GR, 33 GAQT
Nashville Predators (8-15-3, 19 pts) 7 pts back - 56 GR, 31 GAQT
Chicago Blackhawks (4-16-6, 14 pts) 12 pts back - 56 GR, 29 GAQT

~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~

The Philadelphia Flyers and Pittsburgh Penguins have a league high 37 games remaining against quality teams, while the Los Angeles Kings and New Jersey Devils have a league low of 27 games remaining versus quality teams.

There are a few early surprises this season.

After finishing 2nd in the Eastern Conference last season, the Philadelphia Flyers (perennial league powerhouse) sits in the 13th spot. Don't count the Flyers out just yet as they are only 4 points behind the #8 team. Similarly, the Toronto Maple Leafs, who finished 7th last season, are currently the #15 team.

The biggest upward surprise in the Eastern Conference is the Quebec Nordiques, who finished 14th in the conference last season but are currently sitting in the #3 Spot.

Out in the Western Conference, the Chicago Blackhawks and Edmonton Oilers ended playoff droughts last season, claiming the 3rd and 4th seeds, respectively. Currently, Chicago is in the 16th spot and Edmonton is in the 11th spot, so it looks like their playoff streak could end after one season.

The Minnesota Wild are burning up the standings, currently sitting in the 2nd spot after finishing in 12th place last season. However, last season, the Wild also had a strong start - 4th place in the first "Hunt" – only to fall apart and miss the playoffs by 11 points.

Stay tuned as the next playoff report for this season will appear close to mid-season.

Scott Canfield,
Edmonton Oilers

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